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Tesla Faces Declining Sales Amid Intensifying Competition from BYD in Global EV Market

Tesla’s dominance in the global electric vehicle (EV) market appears to be faltering, as the company reported a decline in its 2024 sales for the first time in over a decade. Despite Elon Musk’s aggressive pricing strategies throughout the year, which included repeated price cuts, Tesla's deliveries fell by about 1% from 2023, delivering nearly 1.79 million cars. This marks a slight drop from 1.8 million in 2023.


Rival BYD Emerges as a Strong Competitor

On the other hand, Chinese electric vehicle maker BYD is quickly closing in on Tesla’s market share, reporting a record 1.76 million EV sales in 2024. The Shenzhen-based company’s remarkable growth saw its total vehicle sales jump by more than 41%, reaching over 4.2 million cars. While BYD's sales include both electric and hybrid vehicles, the company has significantly gained traction in the global market, especially in China, where it dominates 90% of its sales.


The rise of BYD can be attributed to several factors. The company benefits from substantial government subsidies in China, which have fueled consumer demand for newer, more fuel-efficient vehicles. Moreover, intense competition within China’s domestic market has driven down prices, allowing Chinese manufacturers like BYD to expand their reach both locally and internationally, further challenging the foreign brands like Volkswagen and Toyota.


Global EV Market Under Pressure

Tesla, though still holding a leading position in the EV space, has struggled to maintain its momentum, especially as rivals intensify their efforts to capture market share. The price war in China has become particularly fierce, where Tesla faces heightened competition from BYD and other local manufacturers. In addition, global demand for electric vehicles has shown signs of slowing in markets like the US and Europe, presenting new challenges for automakers.


Tesla’s troubles are compounded by external factors, such as rising borrowing costs since 2022, making it more expensive for consumers to finance their EV purchases. Elon Musk has acknowledged that this has played a role in weaker-than-expected sales, alongside growing competition and shifting consumer preferences.


Challenges for Traditional Car Makers

While Tesla grapples with these challenges, legacy car manufacturers like Volkswagen, Ford, and General Motors have also been impacted by the changing landscape of the automotive industry. Many have adjusted their sales targets or delayed investments in EV technology in response to growing competition, including from Chinese manufacturers.


The pressure on traditional carmakers has prompted some to explore strategic mergers. For example, Honda and Nissan are reportedly in talks to merge, seeking to improve their competitive standing against China’s rapidly advancing car industry.


Tougher Trade Policies in the EV Market

In response to the increasing influx of Chinese-made EVs, governments are taking steps to protect domestic industries. The European Union introduced tariffs of up to 45.3% on Chinese-made electric vehicles in October, while the US has imposed a 100% duty on EVs imported from China.


These moves are aimed at safeguarding local manufacturers from the growing dominance of Chinese companies, with more actions likely to be taken under the incoming US administration led by President-elect Donald Trump.


Tesla's Future Outlook and Market Adjustments

Tesla's quarterly report shows that the company’s sales improved in the final three months of 2024, with deliveries reaching a quarterly record of 495,000 cars, marking a 2% year-on-year increase. However, analysts had forecasted about 500,000 deliveries for the quarter, and Tesla’s share price dropped by 5% in early trading as it fell short of these expectations.


Tesla’s efforts to maintain its position at the forefront of the EV industry continue, but competition is intensifying from all corners of the globe. The question remains whether the company can adapt to the changing dynamics of the market, especially with growing competition from both traditional car manufacturers and emerging players like BYD.