As the world watches the evolving geopolitical landscape, a crucial question arises: Can Europe and the UK convince former U.S. President Donald Trump of their significance in shaping Ukraine's future? With the potential for Trump’s return to the White House in 2025, his stance on Ukraine and transatlantic alliances remains uncertain.

During his presidency, Trump often questioned NATO’s role, criticised European defence spending, and showed scepticism toward U.S. involvement in global conflicts. His "America First" approach signalled a shift in Washington’s commitment to European security, leaving doubts about how he would handle the ongoing war in Ukraine. If re-elected, Trump could push for reduced U.S. support, forcing Europe and the UK to take greater responsibility.

Europe and the UK have played a significant role in supporting Ukraine, providing military aid, financial assistance, and diplomatic backing. The UK has positioned itself as one of Kyiv’s strongest allies, while the European Union has sanctioned Russia and pledged long-term economic aid. However, without U.S. leadership, their influence may not be enough to deter Russian aggression.

To persuade Trump of their relevance, European leaders must address his concerns by demonstrating their commitment to burden-sharing. This could involve increased defence spending, stronger NATO contributions, and more proactive diplomatic efforts. The UK, despite being outside the EU, could act as a bridge between Washington and Brussels, leveraging its strong ties with the U.S.

Trump values economic deals and strategic advantages. Europe and the UK could frame their involvement in Ukraine as beneficial to American interests—highlighting defence contracts, trade benefits, and the need for a united front against adversaries like China.

Ultimately, Europe and the UK must prepare for a scenario where U.S. support for Ukraine shifts. Whether they can convince Trump of their significance remains uncertain, but their actions in the coming months will be crucial in shaping the future of Ukraine and European security.